Jerome model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 61.9% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 38.1%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 61.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.