Jerome model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 61.9% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 38.1%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 61.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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