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Jerome model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will win 44.9%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was predicted to win 44.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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