The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will win 44.9%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was predicted to win 44.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maine.