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Jerome model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead


The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 48.1% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will win 51.9%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 47.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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