The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 54.9% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, whereas Trump will win 45.1%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to win only 54.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Illinois. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 5.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Illinois.