Jerome model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 48.0% for Clinton, and 52.1% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 47.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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