The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 48.0% for Clinton, and 52.1% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to obtain 52.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.