The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 46.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 53.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.