Jerome model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 46.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.