Jerome model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 46.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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