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Jerome model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead


The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will end up with 46.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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