The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will end up with 46.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.