The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 46.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 53.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.