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Jerome model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead


The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 46.4%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain only 53.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 6.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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