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Jerome model in Colorado: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 53.6% for Clinton, and 46.5% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.7% of the vote.

Historically, Colorado has been a purple state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Hence, predictions here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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