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Jerome model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 30.9% for Clinton, and 69.1% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 12.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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