The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 46.0% for Clinton, and 54.0% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to obtain 54.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.