The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, whereas Trump will end up with 46.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 46.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 6.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.