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Illinois: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, whereas Trump will end up with 46.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 46.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 6.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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