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Illinois: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 61.3% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, whereas Trump will win 38.7%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to end up with 62.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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