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Hawaii: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will end up with 41.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 69.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 11.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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