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Florida: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 51.8% of the two-party vote share in Florida, whereas Trump will win 48.2%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to collect 48.3% of the vote.

Florida is traditionally a battleground state, where the Republican and Democratic candidates have historically achieved similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is considered crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.1% of the two-party vote in Florida. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Florida.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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