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DeSart & Holbrook model in Texas: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 43.3% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will win 56.7%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to win 44.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Texas. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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