Missouri: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 46.3% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will win 53.7%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to win 46.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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