Mississippi: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 43.5% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will end up with 56.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.