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Maine: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 57.5% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will win 42.5%. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to obtain 42.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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