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DeSart & Holbrook model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.1% for Clinton, and 59.9% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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