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DeSart & Holbrook model in Colorado: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.2% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 46.8%.

Historically, Colorado has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.9% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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