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DeSart & Holbrook model in Arizona: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 48.6% for Clinton, and 51.4% for Trump in Arizona.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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