The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.1% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.