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Utah: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.3% for Clinton, and 62.8% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 36.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 60.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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