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Pennsylvania: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.3% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will win 45.7%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to gain 54.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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