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DeSart & Holbrook model in Pennsylvania: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will win 45.6%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 54.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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