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DeSart & Holbrook model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.1% for Clinton, and 43.9% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to achieve 44.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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