DeSart & Holbrook model in Ohio: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.3% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in Ohio.

Historically, Ohio has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. Therefore, predictions here are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

Single models often incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.9% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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