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DeSart & Holbrook model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 39.1% for Clinton, and 60.9% for Trump in North Dakota. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to gain 39.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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