DeSart & Holbrook model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 50.3% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will end up with 49.7%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to gain 50.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.4% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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