The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 50.3% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will end up with 49.7%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to gain 50.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.4% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.