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DeSart & Holbrook model in New York: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 63.8% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will end up with 36.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect 64.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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