The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 63.8% of the two-party vote share in New York, while Trump will end up with 36.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect 64.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New York.