The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 60.1% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will end up with 40.0%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 59.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.