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DeSart & Holbrook model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.6% for Clinton, and 40.4% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 59.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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