The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.3% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in Nevada. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to collect 47.6% of the vote.
Nevada is traditionally a swing state, where Republicans and Democrats have often achieved similar levels of support among voters. Hence, the election outcome here is considered crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they may include large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote in Nevada. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.