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DeSart & Holbrook model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.1% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will win 46.0%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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