The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.1% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will win 44.0%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 56.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can include substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.7% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.