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DeSart & Holbrook model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will win 42.7%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 57.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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