The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 44.7% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will end up with 55.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win 44.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.