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DeSart & Holbrook model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.3% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will end up with 41.7%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to garner 41.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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