The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 59.9% of the two-party vote share in California, while Trump will win 40.1%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain only 40.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they often include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 62.4% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.