DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.0% for Clinton, and 37.0% for Trump in California. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to garner 36.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.