DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.0% for Clinton, and 37.0% for Trump in California. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to garner 36.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.