DeSart & Holbrook model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.7% for Clinton, and 57.3% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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