DeSart & Holbrook model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.7% for Clinton, and 57.3% for Trump in Alaska.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Alaska.