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Alabama: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead


The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.8% for Clinton, and 64.2% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 64.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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