The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.8% for Clinton, and 64.2% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 64.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.