The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will end up with 46.5%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was predicted to win 46.3% of the vote.
Colorado is traditionally a battleground state, where Republicans and Democrats have historically achieved similar voter support. This is why the election outcome in that state is viewed as crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can incorporate substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.