The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.2% for Clinton, and 46.8% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 53.3% of the vote.
In Colorado, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly regarded as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they may include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.