The Bread & Peace model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.9% for Clinton, and 46.1% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 50.2%. In comparison to numbers in the Bread & Peace model Clinton's econometric model average is 3.7 percentage points lower. The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote.