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Bread & Peace model: Clinton is in the lead

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The Bread & Peace model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.9% for Clinton, and 46.1% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 50.2%. In comparison to numbers in the Bread & Peace model Clinton's econometric model average is 3.7 percentage points lower. The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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