Alaska: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 30.9% for Clinton, and 69.1% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in Alaska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 12.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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