Alabama: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 39.2% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 60.8%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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